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UID:1a57cd4eceb1d93cc444cbfc0a2e5515
CATEGORIES:Symmetric Functions & Probability Theory Seminar
CREATED:20250331T110254
SUMMARY:Simultaneous elections make single-party sweeps more likely
LOCATION:Hill 705
DESCRIPTION:Date: 04/02/2025Speaker: Siddhartha Sahi (https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~s
 ahi/) (Rutgers)\nTitle: Simultaneous elections make single-party sweeps mor
 e likely\nAbstract: In a country with multiple elections, it may prove econ
 omically expedient to hold some or all of them on a common polling date. We
  show that such a decision will bring about a systemic change at the politi
 cal level;  an increase in the simultaneity of polling increases the likeli
 hood that  a single party wins all the elections.\nOur result holds under f
 airly general conditions and we discuss its applicability to the two most c
 ommon real world electoral systems, namely "first-past-the-post" (most vote
 rs) and "party list proportional representation" (most countries). In the c
 ourse of our analysis, we obtain a slight generalization of the Harris corr
 elation inequality for monotone functions on the Boolean lattice.\nThis is 
 joint work with Pradeep Dubey (Center for Game Theory, Stony Brook).\nThe t
 alk will be elementary, self-contained, and suitable for a general audience
 .\n
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<div jscontroller="Ae65rd" jsaction="https://www.math.rutgers.edu/touchstar
 t:UrsOsc; click:KjsqPd; focusout:QZoaZ; mouseover:y0pDld; mouseout:dq0hvd;f
 v1Rjc:jbFSOd;CrfLRd:SzACGe;" style="display: inline-block; max-width: 100%;
  position: relative;"><span style="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-size: 11p
 t; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; vertical-align: baseline;">Date
 </span><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-variant: normal; vertical-align: 
 baseline;">: 0</span><span style="font-size: 11pt; vertical-align: baseline
 ;">4</span><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-variant: normal; vertical-ali
 gn: baseline;">/02/2025</span></div><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0p
 x; outline: none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font
 -style: normal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-heigh
 t: 1.6667; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-inde
 nt: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: n
 ormal;"><span style="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-variant: normal; font-w
 eight: bold;">Speaker</span><span style="font-variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</sp
 an><a href="https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~sahi/" target="_blank" rel="noo
 pener" style="color: inherit; text-decoration: none;"><span style="color: #
 006580; font-variant: normal; text-decoration: underline;">Siddhartha Sahi<
 /span></a><span style="font-variant: normal;">&nbsp;(Rutgers)</span></p><p 
 dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: none; position: relative; c
 olor: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; font-
 family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; letter-spacing: normal; orph
 ans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 
 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: Lato,
  Arial; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold;">Title</span><span style="
 font-variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</span>Simultaneous elections make single-par
 ty sweeps more likely</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline:
  none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: nor
 mal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; 
 letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; te
 xt-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;"><sp
 an style="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold
 ;">Abstract</span><span style="font-variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</span>In a co
 untry with multiple elections, it may prove economically expedient to hold 
 some or all of them on a common polling date. We show that such a decision 
 will bring about a systemic change at the political level;&nbsp; an increas
 e in the simultaneity of polling increases the likelihood that&nbsp; a sing
 le party wins all the elections.</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0p
 x; outline: none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font
 -style: normal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-heigh
 t: 1.6667; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-inde
 nt: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: n
 ormal;">Our result holds under fairly general conditions and we discuss its
  applicability to the two most common real world electoral systems, namely 
 "first-past-the-post" (most voters) and "party list proportional representa
 tion" (most countries). In the course of our analysis, we obtain a slight g
 eneralization of the Harris correlation inequality for monotone functions o
 n the Boolean lattice.</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline
 : none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: no
 rmal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667;
  letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; t
 ext-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;">Th
 is is joint work with Pradeep Dubey (Center for Game Theory, Stony Brook).<
 /p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: none; position: relat
 ive; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400;
  font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; padding-bottom: 0px; l
 etter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; tex
 t-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;">The 
 talk will be elementary, self-contained, and suitable for a general audienc
 e.</p>
CONTACT:Siddhartha Sahi 
DTSTAMP:20260828T094307
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250402T104500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250402T234500
SEQUENCE:0
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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